Storyline elements and directions of change for the five Eur-Agri-SSPs

The content of this page is drawn from:

Mitter, H., Techen, A.-K., Sinabell, F., Helming, K., Schmid, E., Bodirsky, B.L., Holman, I., Kok, K., Lehtonen, H., Leip, A., Le Mouël, C., Mathijs, E., Mehdi, B., Mittenzwei, K., Mora, O., Øistad, K., Øygarden, L., Priess, J.A., Reidsma, P., Schaldach, R., Schönhart, M., 2020. Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems: The Eur-Agri-SSPs. Global Environmental Change 65, 102159.

Note: *Similar storyline elements have been chosen for the global SSPs (O’Neill et al., 2017) or the Eur-SSPs (Kok et al., 2019). Arrows indicate directions of change, compared to the initial situation at a certain point in time, i.e., increasing, stable, and decreasing developments.


Bodirsky, B.L., Alessandrini, R., Mitter, H., Prexl, K.-M., Leip, A., Pradhan, P., Gonera, A., Milford, A.B., Sanz-Cobena, A., Weindl, I., Lotze-Campen, H., Popp, A.C., 2019. Food Futures: Narratives of Food Systems for Diet and Nutrition along the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (diet-SSPs). Presented at the 13th European Nutrition Conference, Dublin. URL:–food-futures-storylines-dietary-megatrends-along-shared-socioeconomic-pathways-ssps/5d5e5183bedcf39b76636846? (accessed 08.24.2020).

Dellink, R., Chateau, J., Lanzi, E., Magné, B., 2017. Long-term economic growth projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Global Environmental Change 42, 200–214.

Jiang, L., O’Neill, B.C., 2017. Global urbanization projections for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Global Environmental Change 42, 193–199.

KC, S., Lutz, W., 2017. The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100. Global Environmental Change 42, 181–192.

Kok, K., Pedde, S., Gramberger, M., Harrison, P.A., Holman, I., 2018. New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: Operationalising concepts to extend the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Regional Environmental Change.

O’Neill, B.C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K.L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K., Rothman, D.S., van Ruijven, B.J., van Vuuren, D.P., Birkmann, J., Kok, K., Levy, M., Solecki, W., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Glob. Environ. Change 42, 169–180.